The Ranker

Browse the latest race-day research picks, switch dates with the dropdown, and review the strongest four selections for each race.

R1✓ Quinella PlaceR2✓ Quinella PlaceR3✗ MissR4✓ Quinella PlaceR5✓ PlaceR6✗ MissR7✗ MissR8✗ MissR9✓ PlaceR10✓ Win
13-09-2026 · ST (Sha Tin) · Turf Model models/HKJC-ML_XGB_NOODDS_REG_v2.bin
6/10Hits (completed)
HK$968.00Payout

Race 1

turf 1400m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.46 ✓ Quinella Place racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 11 巴閉佬潘頓 · 呂健威 · Dr6 Closer
Strong
3rd
2 10 籐王駒霍宏聲 · 文家良 · Dr2 Front-runner
Strong
Win
3 14 星之願艾兆禮 · 廖康銘 · Dr4 Midfield
Strong
—
4 1 暴風一族希威森 · 桂福特 · Dr1 Closer
Strong
—

Official result

① #10 籐王駒② #9 文武全能③ #11 巴閉佬④ #7 增旺

Payout hits

Win #10 籐王駒HK$43.00
Place #11 巴閉佬HK$24.00
Place #10 籐王駒HK$16.50
Quinella Place #11 巴閉佬 / #10 籐王駒HK$59.50

Model Narrative

Race 1, turf, 1400m. 巴閉佬 heads the rankings and has shown the clearest affinity for today's trip, with two ST 1400m runs in the recent sample that include a fourth and a seventh, plus a second earlier in the campaign. The model places his at 0.45, well clear of the chasing group. Drawing barrier 6 with 潘頓 aboard, he returns to a distance he has contested repeatedly this season. 籐王駒 is ranked second and brings a narrow second-place finish at ST 1400m on 12 July, beaten only a short head, which is the most recent same-course, same-distance placing in the field; that proximity is worth noting despite the model gap. 星之願 sits third on the rankings; the supplied sample shows mostly shorter trips and HV appearances, with a fourth at ST 1400m on 12 July the latest evidence at today's course and distance. 暴風一族 is ranked fourth and has been competing at C4, a step above today's C5 company; recent ST 1400m finishes of fourth and eighth suggest limited form at the trip. 萬事勝利, ranked fifth, has also been running in C4 grade and the supplied form does not include a recent ST 1400m run that matches today's conditions closely. 常常感恩 is ranked sixth, with a ninth at ST 1400m on 1 July and HV 1650m runs filling the rest of the sample; the model scores this runner lowest among the six. Pace is forecast as neutral, which does not strongly favour front-runners or hold-up horses. The primary comparison remains between 巴閉佬's consistent presence at this trip and 籐王駒's recent near-miss at the same course and distance.

Race 2

turf 1000m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.52 ✓ Quinella Place racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 8 紅海旺潘頓 · 文家良 · Dr6 Midfield
Strong
Win
2 11 雷神太保艾道拿 · 黎昭昇 · Dr1 Front-runner
Strong
3rd
3 13 杭至尊班德禮 · 葉楚航 · Dr3 Closer
Strong
—
4 2 路路勁田泰安 · 羅富全 · Dr12 Front-runner
Strong
—

Official result

① #8 紅海旺② #12 天寶威威③ #11 雷神太保④ #3 輕功猛男

Payout hits

Win #8 紅海旺HK$35.50
Place #8 紅海旺HK$14.50
Place #11 雷神太保HK$28.50
Quinella Place #8 紅海旺 / #11 雷神太保HK$70.00

Model Narrative

Race 2, turf, 1000m. 紅海旺 leads the rankings at 0.53 and holds the clearest recent profile at today's exact course and distance: a second at ST 1000m on 6 September and a third at the same trip on 21 June, with the most recent run just seven days ago. Drawing barrier 6 alongside 潘頓, the horse returns quickly to a track and distance where two of its last four runs have produced top-three finishes. 雷神太保 is ranked second; the supplied sample shows mostly HV 1200m runs, with a ninth at ST 1000m on 6 September as the only ST 1000m appearance in the provided form. The venue note flags limited same-course evidence. 杭至尊 is third, and does hold a ST 1000m run on 1 July — a fifth, beaten two and a quarter lengths — which is the only other supplied same-trip run among the leading group. Earlier ST 1200m efforts in the sample were more modest. 路路勁 is ranked fourth and previously competed at C3, a higher grade; the supplied sample includes ST 1000m runs but in stronger company. A second at HV 1200m on 8 July by three-quarters of a length is the most recent placing. 金珀尖子 is ranked fifth alongside a of 0.23 but no form data was supplied, limiting comparison. 舞林盛宴 is ranked sixth; only two runs are supplied, both at ST 1200m, so direct ST 1000m evidence is absent from the sample. Pace is forecast neutral. The concentration of recent ST 1000m form makes 紅海旺's position straightforward to support on the supplied evidence.

Race 3

turf 1400m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.49 racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 4 明亮光輝潘頓 · 廖康銘 · Dr6 Closer
Strong
—
2 8 劍無情艾兆禮 · 告東尼 · Dr8 Front-runner
Strong
3rd
3 3 東方寶寶袁幸堯 (-10) · 姚本輝 · Dr14 Midfield
Strong
—
4 12 輕鬆大少何澤堯 · 文家良 · Dr1 Closer
Strong
—

Official result

① #13 快樂老撾② #10 發財金戈③ #8 劍無情④ #9 多彩多姿

Payout hits

Place #8 劍無情HK$34.00

Model Narrative

Race 3, turf, 1400m. The model shape is two_horse_fight, with 明亮光輝 and 劍無情 holding notably higher scores than the rest. 劍無情 warrants attention first: the supplied sample shows two ST 1400m wins — a short-head victory on 12 April and a nose win on 8 March — both at today's exact course and distance, and a third at the same trip on 1 July. That concentration of same-trip form, including two victories, is the clearest course-and-distance record among the field. 明亮光輝 leads the rankings at 0.42 and draws barrier 6 with 潘頓; the most recent supplied run is a fourth at ST 1200m on 4 July, while ST 1400m appearances in the sample produced a distant eighth and tenth in C4 company. 東方寶寶 is ranked third with a win at ST 1400m on 12 July — a short-head result — plus a short-head second and a neck third in the two runs immediately prior; three consecutive close-up runs at today's trip. Drawing barrier 14, however, is a wide starting position to manage. 輕鬆大少 is ranked fourth; the supplied sample is mostly HV 1200m, with only one ST run noted, so direct ST 1400m evidence is limited. 海洋帝君, ranked fifth, has been busy at ST 1400m: a third on 12 July by a short head, a second on 1 July, and a fifth on 7 June. The margins in recent runs suggest involvement without a finishing breakthrough at this trip. 鴻圖大展 is ranked sixth and the provided form is exclusively at longer distances — 1600m and 1800m in C4 — with today's 1400m a shorter assignment by the supplied evidence. The principal contest as framed by the model is between 明亮光輝 and 劍無情, while 東方寶寶's recent series of narrow placings makes the third ranking competitive.

Race 4

turf 1200m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.53 ✓ Quinella Place racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 2 逍遙人生希威森 · 沈集成 · Dr4 Front-runner
Strong
Win
2 4 八玲瓏艾兆禮 · 蔡約翰 · Dr6 TBD
Strong
3rd
3 7 幸運大夫霍宏聲 · 伍鵬志 · Dr3 Midfield
Strong
—
4 5 鋼鐵安防潘明輝 · 徐雨石 · Dr1 Front-runner
Strong
—

Official result

① #2 逍遙人生② #3 砂漿麒星③ #4 八玲瓏④ #13 鋁主角

Payout hits

Win #2 逍遙人生HK$119.50
Place #2 逍遙人生HK$28.50
Place #4 八玲瓏HK$70.50
Quinella Place #2 逍遙人生 / #4 八玲瓏HK$322.50

Model Narrative

Race 4, turf, 1200m. 逍遙人生 tops the rankings at 0.40 and has one of the most consistent recent profiles in this field at ST 1200m: a third on 13 June, a second on 6 May beaten three-quarters of a length, and another second on 1 March by a neck. Three of the last five runs have placed at this course and distance, with the misses on 27 May at HV and a mid-field finish in March. Drawing barrier 4 with 希威森, the record at ST 1200m gives the ranking clear grounding. 八玲瓏 is ranked second at 0.33 but no form data was supplied, so direct comparison of recent runs is not possible. 幸運大夫, ranked third, has a varied recent profile: a seventh at ST 1400m on 4 July and an eighth at ST 1200m on 13 June are the closest supplied runs to today's conditions. Earlier efforts include a twelfth at HV 1200m, suggesting inconsistency across venues and distances in the sample. 快樂高球 is ranked fifth and merits attention within that position: the supplied last five runs show a second, fifth, third and a win at ST 1200m, with the most recent a narrow second on 12 July beaten half a length. That is a concentrated sequence of ST 1200m placings, though the model keeps this runner fifth. 鋼鐵安防, ranked fourth, has recorded a sixth and a tenth at ST 1200m in the two most recent runs, with the previous two at HV also unplaced. 砂漿麒星 is ranked sixth; the supplied sample includes a second on 4 July at ST 1200m under wet-fast conditions, and a win on 4 January at the same trip by a short head, though there is a gap between those two runs. Pace is forecast neutral. 逍遙人生's repeated ST 1200m placings make the top ranking well-supported, while 快樂高球's recent sequence is the clearest counterpressure in the field.

Race 5

turf 1200m 🐢 Slow pace · Pressure 0.40 ✓ Place racecard ↗
Likely slow early pace (few on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 10 烈進駒潘頓 · 呂健威 · Dr7 Midfield
Strong
3rd
2 9 龍文正道何澤堯 · 黎昭昇 · Dr1 Closer
Strong
—
3 5 鋁神艾兆禮 · 廖康銘 · Dr13 Midfield
Strong
—
4 8 澄心知遇田泰安 · 蔡約翰 · Dr12 TBD
Strong
—

Official result

① #2 肯佩斯② #12 浩然③ #10 烈進駒④ #13 領駿輝煌

Payout hits

Place #10 烈進駒HK$19.00

Model Narrative

Race 5, turf, 1200m. The model shape is clear_standout, with 烈進駒 at 0.60 leading a field where the next-ranked runner, 龍文正道, sits at 0.42. Only three runs are supplied for 烈進駒: a second at ST 1200m on 12 July beaten a neck, a distant eleventh at HV 1200m on 3 June, and a seventh at ST 1200m on 9 May. The neck second on 12 July is the clearest recent evidence; the model scores the horse well clear despite a modest supplied sample. 龍文正道 is ranked second and only one run is provided — a second at ST 1200m on 4 July, beaten three lengths. Limited as that sample is, it places the horse directly at today's course and distance. 鋁神 is ranked third and holds the most extensive supplied record among the field: a win at ST 1200m on 31 May, a second on 21 June beaten a length and a half, and a sixth on 12 July. The win and the subsequent close second at the same trip are solid supporting evidence, though the model ranks this horse behind the leading two. 澄心知遇 is ranked fourth at 0.22 but no form was supplied. 肯佩斯 is ranked fifth; the supplied sample is entirely at 1400m across ST and HV, so no ST 1200m run appears in the provided form. 渡月橋 is ranked sixth and does hold a third at ST 1200m on 12 July beaten three-quarters of a length, which is the same race in which 烈進駒 finished second; that is the most recent common reference point in the supplied data. Pace is forecast slow, meaning horses held up may need more late ground. Drawing barrier 7, 烈進駒 starts from a mid-field position. The model's gap between first and second is the defining feature of this race.

Race 6

turf 1600m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.45 racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 9 華麗再贏潘頓 · 沈集成 · Dr11 Midfield
Strong
4th
2 1 捷威何澤堯 · 姚本輝 · Dr4 Closer
Strong
—
3 8 小飛俠艾兆禮 · 蔡約翰 · Dr2 Midfield
Strong
—
4 5 好運年班德禮 · 葉楚航 · Dr3 Midfield
Strong
2nd

Official result

① #13 金駒永騰② #5 好運年③ #4 勤德天下④ #9 華麗再贏

Payout hits

Place #5 好運年HK$19.00

Model Narrative

Race 6 is over turf at 1600 metres with a neutral pace forecast. The model separates 華麗再贏 and 捷威 at the top, with the rest bunched closer together. 華麗再贏 ranks first and brings a second-place finish at this trip and track, beaten a short head in June, along with a third placing at ST 1400m shortly after. The 1600m at Sha Tin is a familiar ground. 捷威 ranks second and arrives with a win at ST 1800m in July, beaten a head at ST 1600m in June, and four prior ST 1600m runs in the sample suggesting consistent engagement at the trip. Those two hold the clearest model separation. 新力飆 ranks third with a second at ST 1600m in July, beaten one and three-quarter lengths, after two poorer efforts; there is some positive evidence but also inconsistency in the sample. 好運年 ranks fourth and shows back-to-back thirds at ST 1600m in May and June, each within three-quarters of a length, plus a second in May, making the recent ST 1600m record a legitimate point of note. 小飛俠 ranks fifth but the supplied form covers ST 1650m and 1800m with no ST 1600m appearance in the sample; recent results include a twelfth placing and multiple mid-field efforts. 勤德天下 ranks sixth with four ST 1600m runs in the sample, finishing fourth, fifth, eleventh and tenth, plus a third in March; the latest two efforts place this runner in mid-pack territory.

Race 7

turf 1400m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.52 racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 5 步風影潘頓 · 伍鵬志 · Dr13 Midfield
Strong
—
2 13 天比高田泰安 · 葉楚航 · Dr3 Front-runner
Strong
—
3 8 龍城強將金誠剛 · 韋達 · Dr8 Midfield
Strong
—
4 11 巴閉仔潘明輝 · 徐雨石 · Dr5 Closer
Strong
—

Official result

① #12 活力精神② #1 準輝煌③ #6 愛馬心④ #10 喜駿昇星

Payout hits

No winning combo in Top 4

Model Narrative

Race 7 is over turf at 1400 metres with a neutral pace forecast. 步風影 tops the model ranking but the supplied sample only covers three runs, all at ST 1000m or 1200m, so there is no 1400m run in that record. The model nonetheless places the horse first. 天比高 ranks second and brings the most directly relevant evidence: back-to-back wins at ST 1400m in June and July, the July win by two and a half lengths. Those two wins at this exact trip give the second pick concrete same-trip form. 龍城強將 ranks third with four ST 1400m runs in the sample, including a third last time out in July, a fourth in May and more modest efforts earlier; consistent presence at the trip even if results vary. 巴閉仔 ranks fourth but the supplied sample shows finishes of seventh across three HV and ST runs, with no top-three placing in the last five; the evidence is limited in terms of recent competitive form. 睿智多寶 ranks fifth, with a win at ST 1600m in March and a second in April at the same trip, but recent form in June and July shows ninth placings; the step down in distance today is a change from recent outings. 量子猴王 ranks sixth with three runs in the Griffin series at ST 1200m or 1000m, finishing third, third and fourth; the horse steps up to 1400m in open company today after those shorter-trip Griffin races.

Race 8

turf 1000m 🔥 Fast pace · Pressure 0.61 racecard ↗
Likely fast early pace (many on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 13 幸運糖田泰安 · 巫偉傑 · Dr4 Front-runner
Strong
—
2 1 實力股巴度 · 羅富全 · Dr14 Front-runner
Strong
2nd
3 4 團結勇士梁家俊 · 鄭俊偉 · Dr13 Midfield
Strong
—
4 6 精彩福星希威森 · 大衛希斯 · Dr9 Front-runner
Strong
4th

Official result

① #10 星運傳奇② #1 實力股③ #11 從化之星④ #6 精彩福星

Payout hits

Place #1 實力股HK$11.00

Model Narrative

Race 8 is over turf at 1000 metres with a fast pace forecast, meaning horses that race forward may face an elevated cost of racing if pressure comes early. 幸運糖 heads the model and has three consecutive second-place finishes at ST 1000m in May, June and July, each time at close margins including a neck and a short head. That consistency at this exact trip is the clearest grounding for the top ranking. 實力股 ranks second with only one run in the sample, a win at ST 1200m in July by over five lengths; the limited sample is worth noting but the win is emphatic. 團結勇士 ranks third and shares the recent ST 1000m track: a win there in July, then seventh in June, another win in May. That gives two wins in three ST 1000m runs in the supplied record. The first and third picks both have strong ST 1000m evidence and their model scores are close. 精彩福星 ranks fourth with a fourth at ST 1000m last time and two further fourths in recent runs; consistent in finishing position but without a top-three in the last five. 無敵好瑪 ranks fifth with just two runs in the sample, a fifth at ST 1200m and a third at ST 1000m in June, the latter a positive at this trip. 長勝金剛 ranks sixth; the supplied sample is dominated by HV 1200m runs with only one ST 1200m appearance, and recent results include a tenth and a twelfth; today's switch to ST 1000m is a notable change from the recent record.

Race 9

turf 1200m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.46 ✓ Place racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 1 超寫意周俊樂 (-2) · 姚本輝 · Dr1 TBD
Strong
2nd
2 12 爆發潘頓 · 告東尼 · Dr14 Front-runner
Strong
—
3 8 傑出雷霆何澤堯 · 呂健威 · Dr4 Closer
Strong
—
4 13 正極黃智弘 (-3) · 沈集成 · Dr3 Front-runner
Strong
—

Official result

① #5 鑽石星空② #1 超寫意③ #2 錶之極光④ #4 一世美麗

Payout hits

Place #1 超寫意HK$18.00

Model Narrative

Race 9 is over turf at 1200 metres with a neutral pace forecast. 爆發 ranks first but no form data is supplied beyond the ranking and probability; the model places the horse at the top by a meaningful margin. 超寫意 ranks second with two ST 1200m wins in the five-run sample, in February and June, alongside a ninth and a fourth at the same trip; the June win is the most recent. 傑出雷霆 ranks third with two thirds at the trip, including a third at ST 1200m in June and another third at HV 1200m in July, as well as a win at ST 1200m in May; three sampled runs at 1200m show front-three finishes in two of them. The second and third picks have comparable supplied scores and both carry 1200m wins in the sample. 正極 ranks fourth with a win at ST 1200m in June but also an eleventh that same month at the same trip, and further mid-pack efforts before that; the variability in results is notable. 一世美麗 ranks fifth; the supplied record covers ST 1400m exclusively, with no 1200m run in the sample. The horse finished third twice and second once at 1400m earlier in the year but has been seventh in the last two outings at that distance. 咕嚕快跑 ranks sixth with only one run in the sample, a sixth at ST 1200m in July; very limited evidence to assess at this trip.

Race 10

turf 1400m 🔥 Fast pace · Pressure 0.55 ✓ Win racecard ↗
Likely fast early pace (many on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 12 NYX GLUCK潘頓 · 沈集成 · Dr1 Midfield
Strong
Win
2 11 BIG RETURN希威森 · 黎昭昇 · Dr9 Midfield
Strong
—
3 4 FLOW WATER FLOW艾道拿 · 蔡約翰 · Dr4 Closer
Strong
4th
4 1 SOVEREIGN FUND田泰安 · 桂福特 · Dr3 Midfield
Strong
—

Official result

① #12 嵐臣② #2 友瑩亮③ #5 潮州精神④ #4 細水長流

Payout hits

Win #12 NYX GLUCKHK$21.50
Place #12 NYX GLUCKHK$13.00

Model Narrative

Race 10 is over turf at 1400 metres with a fast pace forecast, suggesting front-running horses may face pressure in the early stages. 嵐臣 is a clear model standout, with a win at ST 1400m in July, a second in April beaten a short head, and a third in May, all at this exact trip; three of the last four sampled runs have come at ST 1400m with front-three finishes in three of them. The fast pace is a tactical point given that 嵐臣's gear history suggests a forward-running style. 大回報 ranks second with five sampled runs all at ST 1600m, producing a win, two seconds and a third in the last four; the horse steps down from 1600m to 1400m today, a distance not seen in the sample. 細水長流 ranks third with a ST 1400m second in January and a win at ST 1800m in February plus another win at ST 1600m; no 1400m run in the last five beyond that January second. 金牌活力 ranks fourth and brings the most recent ST 1400m win in the sample, a victory in June, though a ninth followed in May and results at HV have been mixed. 金滙千帥 ranks fifth with a win at ST 1400m on 12 July, the most recent supplied run; prior efforts at 1600m were less competitive. 逍遙騎士 ranks sixth with two wins in the sample at ST 1400m and ST 1600m, plus a third at ST 1600m, showing varied trip engagement, though the last run was a fifth at HV 1200m. The model gap between 嵐臣 and the rest is the defining feature of this race.

Contact Us

Whether it is:

email us at info@racingquant.com and we will reply as soon as we can.