The Ranker

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13-09-2026 · ST (Sha Tin) · Turf Model models/HKJC-ML_XGB_NOODDS_REG_v2.bin

Race 1

turf 1400m
HorseSignalsResult
1
2
3
4
5

Race 2

turf 1000m
HorseSignalsResult
1
2
3
4
5

Race 3

turf 1400m
HorseSignalsResult
1
2
3
4
5

Race 4

turf 1200m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.53 racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 2 逍遙人生希威森 · 沈集成 · Dr4 Front-runner
Strong
🔒
2 4 八玲瓏艾兆禮 · 蔡約翰 · Dr6 TBD
Strong
🔒
3 7 幸運大夫霍宏聲 · 伍鵬志 · Dr3 Midfield
Strong
🔒
4 5 鋼鐵安防潘明輝 · 徐雨石 · Dr1 Front-runner
Strong
🔒

Model Narrative

Race 4, turf, 1200m. 逍遙人生 tops the rankings at 0.40 and has one of the most consistent recent profiles in this field at ST 1200m: a third on 13 June, a second on 6 May beaten three-quarters of a length, and another second on 1 March by a neck. Three of the last five runs have placed at this course and distance, with the misses on 27 May at HV and a mid-field finish in March. Drawing barrier 4 with 希威森, the record at ST 1200m gives the ranking clear grounding. 八玲瓏 is ranked second at 0.33 but no form data was supplied, so direct comparison of recent runs is not possible. 幸運大夫, ranked third, has a varied recent profile: a seventh at ST 1400m on 4 July and an eighth at ST 1200m on 13 June are the closest supplied runs to today's conditions. Earlier efforts include a twelfth at HV 1200m, suggesting inconsistency across venues and distances in the sample. 快樂高球 is ranked fifth and merits attention within that position: the supplied last five runs show a second, fifth, third and a win at ST 1200m, with the most recent a narrow second on 12 July beaten half a length. That is a concentrated sequence of ST 1200m placings, though the model keeps this runner fifth. 鋼鐵安防, ranked fourth, has recorded a sixth and a tenth at ST 1200m in the two most recent runs, with the previous two at HV also unplaced. 砂漿麒星 is ranked sixth; the supplied sample includes a second on 4 July at ST 1200m under wet-fast conditions, and a win on 4 January at the same trip by a short head, though there is a gap between those two runs. Pace is forecast neutral. 逍遙人生's repeated ST 1200m placings make the top ranking well-supported, while 快樂高球's recent sequence is the clearest counterpressure in the field.

Race 5

turf 1200m 🐢 Slow pace · Pressure 0.40 racecard ↗
Likely slow early pace (few on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 10 烈進駒潘頓 · 呂健威 · Dr7 Midfield
Strong
🔒
2 9 龍文正道何澤堯 · 黎昭昇 · Dr1 Closer
Strong
🔒
3 5 鋁神艾兆禮 · 廖康銘 · Dr13 Midfield
Strong
🔒
4 8 澄心知遇田泰安 · 蔡約翰 · Dr12 TBD
Strong
🔒

Model Narrative

Race 5, turf, 1200m. The model shape is clear_standout, with 烈進駒 at 0.60 leading a field where the next-ranked runner, 龍文正道, sits at 0.42. Only three runs are supplied for 烈進駒: a second at ST 1200m on 12 July beaten a neck, a distant eleventh at HV 1200m on 3 June, and a seventh at ST 1200m on 9 May. The neck second on 12 July is the clearest recent evidence; the model scores the horse well clear despite a modest supplied sample. 龍文正道 is ranked second and only one run is provided — a second at ST 1200m on 4 July, beaten three lengths. Limited as that sample is, it places the horse directly at today's course and distance. 鋁神 is ranked third and holds the most extensive supplied record among the field: a win at ST 1200m on 31 May, a second on 21 June beaten a length and a half, and a sixth on 12 July. The win and the subsequent close second at the same trip are solid supporting evidence, though the model ranks this horse behind the leading two. 澄心知遇 is ranked fourth at 0.22 but no form was supplied. 肯佩斯 is ranked fifth; the supplied sample is entirely at 1400m across ST and HV, so no ST 1200m run appears in the provided form. 渡月橋 is ranked sixth and does hold a third at ST 1200m on 12 July beaten three-quarters of a length, which is the same race in which 烈進駒 finished second; that is the most recent common reference point in the supplied data. Pace is forecast slow, meaning horses held up may need more late ground. Drawing barrier 7, 烈進駒 starts from a mid-field position. The model's gap between first and second is the defining feature of this race.

Race 6

turf 1600m
HorseSignalsResult
1
2
3
4
5

Race 7

turf 1400m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.52 racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 5 步風影潘頓 · 伍鵬志 · Dr13 Midfield
Strong
🔒
2 13 天比高田泰安 · 葉楚航 · Dr3 Front-runner
Strong
🔒
3 8 龍城強將金誠剛 · 韋達 · Dr8 Midfield
Strong
🔒
4 11 巴閉仔潘明輝 · 徐雨石 · Dr5 Closer
Strong
🔒

Model Narrative

Race 7 is over turf at 1400 metres with a neutral pace forecast. 步風影 tops the model ranking but the supplied sample only covers three runs, all at ST 1000m or 1200m, so there is no 1400m run in that record. The model nonetheless places the horse first. 天比高 ranks second and brings the most directly relevant evidence: back-to-back wins at ST 1400m in June and July, the July win by two and a half lengths. Those two wins at this exact trip give the second pick concrete same-trip form. 龍城強將 ranks third with four ST 1400m runs in the sample, including a third last time out in July, a fourth in May and more modest efforts earlier; consistent presence at the trip even if results vary. 巴閉仔 ranks fourth but the supplied sample shows finishes of seventh across three HV and ST runs, with no top-three placing in the last five; the evidence is limited in terms of recent competitive form. 睿智多寶 ranks fifth, with a win at ST 1600m in March and a second in April at the same trip, but recent form in June and July shows ninth placings; the step down in distance today is a change from recent outings. 量子猴王 ranks sixth with three runs in the Griffin series at ST 1200m or 1000m, finishing third, third and fourth; the horse steps up to 1400m in open company today after those shorter-trip Griffin races.

Race 8

turf 1000m 🔥 Fast pace · Pressure 0.61 racecard ↗
Likely fast early pace (many on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 13 幸運糖田泰安 · 巫偉傑 · Dr4 Front-runner
Strong
🔒
2 1 實力股巴度 · 羅富全 · Dr14 Front-runner
Strong
🔒
3 4 團結勇士梁家俊 · 鄭俊偉 · Dr13 Midfield
Strong
🔒
4 6 精彩福星希威森 · 大衛希斯 · Dr9 Front-runner
Strong
🔒

Model Narrative

Race 8 is over turf at 1000 metres with a fast pace forecast, meaning horses that race forward may face an elevated cost of racing if pressure comes early. 幸運糖 heads the model and has three consecutive second-place finishes at ST 1000m in May, June and July, each time at close margins including a neck and a short head. That consistency at this exact trip is the clearest grounding for the top ranking. 實力股 ranks second with only one run in the sample, a win at ST 1200m in July by over five lengths; the limited sample is worth noting but the win is emphatic. 團結勇士 ranks third and shares the recent ST 1000m track: a win there in July, then seventh in June, another win in May. That gives two wins in three ST 1000m runs in the supplied record. The first and third picks both have strong ST 1000m evidence and their model scores are close. 精彩福星 ranks fourth with a fourth at ST 1000m last time and two further fourths in recent runs; consistent in finishing position but without a top-three in the last five. 無敵好瑪 ranks fifth with just two runs in the sample, a fifth at ST 1200m and a third at ST 1000m in June, the latter a positive at this trip. 長勝金剛 ranks sixth; the supplied sample is dominated by HV 1200m runs with only one ST 1200m appearance, and recent results include a tenth and a twelfth; today's switch to ST 1000m is a notable change from the recent record.

Race 9

turf 1200m
HorseSignalsResult
1
2
3
4
5

Race 10

turf 1400m 🔥 Fast pace · Pressure 0.55 racecard ↗
Likely fast early pace (many on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 12 嵐臣潘頓 · 沈集成 · Dr1 Midfield
Strong
🔒
2 11 大回報希威森 · 黎昭昇 · Dr9 Midfield
Strong
🔒
3 4 細水長流艾道拿 · 蔡約翰 · Dr4 Closer
Strong
🔒
4 1 金牌活力田泰安 · 桂福特 · Dr3 Midfield
Strong
🔒

Model Narrative

Race 10 is over turf at 1400 metres with a fast pace forecast, suggesting front-running horses may face pressure in the early stages. 嵐臣 is a clear model standout, with a win at ST 1400m in July, a second in April beaten a short head, and a third in May, all at this exact trip; three of the last four sampled runs have come at ST 1400m with front-three finishes in three of them. The fast pace is a tactical point given that 嵐臣's gear history suggests a forward-running style. 大回報 ranks second with five sampled runs all at ST 1600m, producing a win, two seconds and a third in the last four; the horse steps down from 1600m to 1400m today, a distance not seen in the sample. 細水長流 ranks third with a ST 1400m second in January and a win at ST 1800m in February plus another win at ST 1600m; no 1400m run in the last five beyond that January second. 金牌活力 ranks fourth and brings the most recent ST 1400m win in the sample, a victory in June, though a ninth followed in May and results at HV have been mixed. 金滙千帥 ranks fifth with a win at ST 1400m on 12 July, the most recent supplied run; prior efforts at 1600m were less competitive. 逍遙騎士 ranks sixth with two wins in the sample at ST 1400m and ST 1600m, plus a third at ST 1600m, showing varied trip engagement, though the last run was a fifth at HV 1200m. The model gap between 嵐臣 and the rest is the defining feature of this race.

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