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R1✓ QuinellaR2✗ MissR3✓ TierceR4✗ MissR5✗ MissR6✓ QuinellaR7✓ Quinella PlaceR8✗ MissR9✗ Miss
21-10-2026 · HV (Happy Valley) · Turf Model models/HKJC-ML_XGB_NOODDS_REG_v2.bin
4/9Hits (completed)
HK$3,868.50Payout

Race 1

turf 1650m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.52 ✓ Quinella racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 6 部族高手潘頓 · 廖康銘 · Dr1 Front-runner
Strong
Win
2 2 本領非凡何澤堯 · 羅富全 · Dr4 Midfield
Strong
4th
3 11 幸福約定艾兆禮 · 大衛希斯 · Dr2 Midfield
Strong
2nd
4 1 太子奧爾民 · 伍鵬志 · Dr7 Closer
Strong
—

Official result

① #6 部族高手② #11 幸福約定③ #5 龍文瑞安④ #2 本領非凡

Payout hits

Win #6 部族高手HK$29.00
Place #6 部族高手HK$16.00
Place #11 幸福約定HK$24.50
Quinella #6 部族高手 / #11 幸福約定HK$95.00
Quinella Place #6 部族高手 / #11 幸福約定HK$40.00

Model Narrative

Race 1, turf, 1650m. 部族高手 moves from a latest 1600m start at Sha Tin to a Happy Valley mile, a small distance change but a new course within the supplied sample, with no Happy Valley run in his last five. The model keeps him first and draw one is useful positional context, though it guarantees nothing. His latest effort was an eighth over 1600m beaten three and a quarter lengths, and his clearest support is a head win over 1600m at Sha Tin in June. 本領非凡 has five sampled runs, all at Happy Valley 1650m, including a close third last time beaten a length and a quarter and two seconds, one by a short head. That is the most relevant course and trip evidence in the race. The comparison is winning form against proven placing, so 部族高手 stays ahead of 本領非凡. 幸福約定 has sampled runs only at Sha Tin over 1200m to 1400m and now tries a mile, so stamina is an open question. 太子 has two Happy Valley 1650m runs but finished seventh and twelfth. 創科群英 was a two-length sixth over this trip last time, the closest recent effort among the support. 妙算強人 has two sevenths at the trip, beaten four and a half and almost six lengths. The pace forecast is neutral, with no clear early bias.

Race 2

turf 1200m 🔥 Fast pace · Pressure 0.71 racecard ↗
Likely fast early pace (many on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 1 友得盈潘頓 · 丁冠豪 · Dr4 Front-runner
Strong
4th
2 4 靖哥哥周俊樂 · 甘敏斯 · Dr8 Midfield
Strong
2nd
3 3 金風萬里霍宏聲 · 桂福特 · Dr1 Midfield
Strong
—
4 8 魅力知福艾兆禮 · 蔡約翰 · Dr3 Front-runner
Strong
—

Official result

① #6 朗日雪峰② #4 靖哥哥③ #2 領航多福④ #1 友得盈

Payout hits

Place #4 靖哥哥HK$19.00

Model Narrative

Race 2, turf, 1200m. 友得盈 has five sampled Happy Valley 1200m runs, including two seconds, the better of them a half-length defeat in June, though the latest was an eleventh beaten five and three quarter lengths. No win appears in the sample. 魅力知福 brings a head win over 1200m at Sha Tin in July, but his only sampled Happy Valley 1200m run was a seventh beaten two and a half lengths. Course familiarity without a win against winning form with thinner venue evidence keeps 友得盈 first and 魅力知福 second. 金風萬里 has the tightest same-trip placings in the field, second by a nose and third by a neck, and draw one is a positional convenience. 快樂之友 has been sampled over 1600m to 1800m and now drops to 1200m, a clear change of trip. 飈誌 was third over Happy Valley 1000m last time and must deal with draw 12. 輕鬆大少 has three sampled runs over this course and trip, the best a half-length third in April. The pace forecast is fast with several forward types, so early positioning may cost more than usual.

Race 3

turf 1650m 🐢 Slow pace · Pressure 0.39 ✓ Tierce racecard ↗
Likely slow early pace (few on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 8 金駒永騰何澤堯 · 伍鵬志 · Dr2 Front-runner
Strong
2nd
2 3 都靈冠星潘頓 · 大衛希斯 · Dr7 Front-runner
Strong
Win
3 4 越駿聯歡梁家俊 · 黎昭昇 · Dr8 Closer
Strong
—
4 10 康昌之星艾兆禮 · 廖康銘 · Dr10 Closer
Strong
3rd

Official result

① #3 都靈冠星② #8 金駒永騰③ #10 康昌之星④ #9 唯美主義

Payout hits

Win #3 都靈冠星HK$106.00
Place #8 金駒永騰HK$14.00
Place #3 都靈冠星HK$27.50
Place #10 康昌之星HK$27.00
Quinella #8 金駒永騰 / #3 都靈冠星HK$136.50
Quinella Place #3 都靈冠星 / #10 康昌之星HK$120.00
Quinella Place #8 金駒永騰 / #3 都靈冠星HK$52.50
Quinella Place #8 金駒永騰 / #10 康昌之星HK$53.50
Tierce #3 都靈冠星 / #8 金駒永騰 / #10 康昌之星HK$2,471.00

Model Narrative

Race 3, turf, 1650m. 金駒永騰 has the most relevant recent Happy Valley mile evidence, fourth on 7 October beaten two and three quarter lengths and fifth over the same trip on 23 September beaten one and three quarter lengths, alongside a 1600m win at Sha Tin by a length and a quarter in September. That mix of a close same-trip effort and a win keeps him first. 越駿聯歡 won over this course and trip by a head on 23 September and was third, beaten three quarters of a length, in July, so he brings a recent same-trip win, with draw eight as context only. 都靈冠星 has sampled runs only at Sha Tin and was tenth over 1400m last time, beaten almost six lengths, so today's venue and trip both need assessing. 康昌之星 has finished fifth in all three sampled Happy Valley 1650m runs, each within about three lengths, consistent without a breakthrough. 先到先得 owns a win and a second at the trip, both by a neck, but was twelfth and well beaten last time. 唯美主義's best sampled effort here was a fourth in March, beaten two and three quarter lengths. The pace forecast is slow, so held-up runners may need to make up more ground late.

Race 4

turf 1200m 🔥 Fast pace · Pressure 0.56 racecard ↗
Likely fast early pace (many on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 2 多多好馬金誠剛 · 沈集成 · Dr6 Front-runner
Strong
4th
2 1 幸運愉快潘明輝 · 巫偉傑 · Dr12 Midfield
Strong
—
3 4 明德輝煌袁幸堯 (-7) · 姚本輝 · Dr11 Front-runner
Strong
Win
4 5 豐才艾兆禮 · 蘇偉賢 · Dr2 Midfield
Strong
—

Official result

① #4 明德輝煌② #7 馬鳳凰③ #8 螢影飛馳④ #2 多多好馬

Payout hits

Win #4 明德輝煌HK$21.00
Place #4 明德輝煌HK$12.00

Model Narrative

Race 4, turf, 1200m. The first two choices separate on timing. 多多好馬 has four sampled Happy Valley 1200m runs, headed by a one-length win in February and a one-length second in January, which is the most direct course and trip winning evidence in the field, but the latest sampled start is February and nothing later is supplied. 幸運愉快 brings the more recent profile, fourth over this trip on 7 October beaten a length, second in September also beaten a length, and a neck win in May. Draw 12 is a positional question rather than proof of a wide trip. 多多好馬 stays first, with 幸運愉快 second. 明德輝煌 has three consecutive seconds over 1200m at Sha Tin, all within a length and a half, but his only sampled Happy Valley 1200m run was a fourth beaten three and a quarter lengths. 豐才 has a single sampled run, an eighth over 1000m at Sha Tin beaten four and three quarter lengths. 高明豐勝 has sampled runs only at Sha Tin, so Happy Valley is a new venue question, while 紅悅舍 was mostly sampled over 1000m there, including Griffin races, and also steps to this trip. The pace forecast is fast, so early competition for position is likely.

Race 5

turf 1000m 🔥 Fast pace · Pressure 0.65 racecard ↗
Likely fast early pace (many on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 5 豐勝多彩巴度 · 蘇偉賢 · Dr5 TBD
Strong
—
2 6 順勢而行潘明輝 · 賀賢 · Dr10 TBD
Strong
3rd
3 11 皇金合楊明綸 · 丁冠豪 · Dr6 Front-runner
Strong
—
4 1 鴻圖新星艾道拿 · 蔡約翰 · Dr8 Midfield
Strong
—

Official result

① #10 超強六十② #3 佐治傳奇③ #6 順勢而行④ #2 長勝金剛

Payout hits

Place #6 順勢而行HK$76.50

Model Narrative

Race 5, turf, 1000m. 皇金合 is ranked third by the model, and his supplied evidence includes a Happy Valley 1000m win by a length and three quarters on 20 May and a third over the same trip in March beaten a length and a quarter, the widest winning margin over this course and trip in the sample. His latest sampled run was a ninth over 1200m beaten eight lengths, so that support is specific to the 1000m. 豐勝多彩 remains first in the ranking but has no supplied form sample, only draw five and the booking of 巴度, so the comparison rests on what is available for the others and the order is unchanged. 順勢而行, second in the ranking, also has no supplied form sample and starts from draw ten. 鴻圖新星 has four sampled Happy Valley 1000m runs, including a half-length win in June and a short-head second in May, and was seventh, beaten two lengths, last time. 佐治傳奇 has three consecutive top-three finishes over this course and trip, winning by a neck on 7 October, and is drawn 12 today. 長勝金剛 was third over the trip last time beaten half a length. The pace forecast is fast and the straight is short, so early position matters.

Race 6

turf 1000m 🔥 Fast pace · Pressure 0.62 ✓ Quinella racecard ↗
Likely fast early pace (many on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 1 天天同樂潘頓 · 羅富全 · Dr10 Front-runner
Strong
Win
2 8 好好戀愛巴度 · 方嘉柏 · Dr4 Midfield
Strong
—
3 4 馬力艾兆禮 · 羅富全 · Dr6 Closer
Strong
2nd
4 5 俏眼光班德禮 · 蔡約翰 · Dr5 Front-runner
Strong
—

Official result

① #1 天天同樂② #4 馬力③ #9 好評如潮④ #7 晨曦儷人

Payout hits

Win #1 天天同樂HK$69.50
Place #1 天天同樂HK$22.50
Place #4 馬力HK$23.50
Quinella #1 天天同樂 / #4 馬力HK$232.00
Quinella Place #1 天天同樂 / #4 馬力HK$75.00

Model Narrative

Race 6, turf, 1000m. 天天同樂 returns to Happy Valley after a last-start third in a Sha Tin 1000m G3, beaten a length and a quarter, and the supplied sample also holds a Valley 1000m win by three quarters of a length in April plus a third and a fourth over Valley 1200m. That is the relevant evidence for today's switch, though five runs cannot establish a lasting course preference. 好好戀愛 was third over this Valley trip in September, beaten half a length, and won a Sha Tin 1000m by a short head in June. 馬力 ran the mirror image, fourth at Valley 1000m in September, beaten half a length, then a one-length winner at Sha Tin over the same trip in October. The pace forecast is fast with several forward types, so early positioning matters for the wide-drawn 天天同樂 in gate 10 and 晨曦儷人 in gate 9. 俏眼光 has no Valley 1000m run in the sample, his two Valley wins came over 1200m, and he was twelfth last time. 晨曦儷人 was fourth over Valley 1200m last start, beaten three quarters of a length, but has no win in the sample. 好評如潮 was second over this Valley trip in April, beaten three quarters of a length, and carries a seven-pound claim.

Race 7

turf 1200m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.50 ✓ Quinella Place racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 5 KOL潘頓 · 大衛希斯 · Dr5 Front-runner
Strong
—
2 10 QUICK CONTRIBUTION潘明輝 · 賀賢 · Dr8 Midfield
Strong
2nd
3 3 COPARTNER FLEET周俊樂 (-2) · 呂健威 · Dr1 Midfield
Strong
4th
4 11 FORZA LEADER巴度 · 徐雨石 · Dr2 Closer
Strong
3rd

Official result

① #2 賢知友您② #10 飛躍成就③ #11 領袖勁力④ #3 合夥飛馳

Payout hits

Place #10 QUICK CONTRIBUTIONHK$14.50
Place #11 FORZA LEADERHK$21.00
Quinella Place #10 QUICK CONTRIBUTION / #11 FORZA LEADERHK$38.50

Model Narrative

Race 7, turf, 1200m. 鋁主角 brings a last-start win over this trip at Sha Tin, by a neck in October, while 飛躍成就 arrives with a run of close placings at Sha Tin 1400m, including a neck second last time and two further seconds, so recent winning form meets consistent proximity. All five of 鋁主角's sampled runs are at Sha Tin, which makes today's Valley switch a new variable, and he was twelfth beaten nineteen and a quarter lengths in May. 飛躍成就 has no 1200m run in the sample and no win in it, his only Valley appearance a seventh over 1650m in January. The pace forecast is neutral, with no clear fast or slow signal. 合夥飛馳 has gate one, but his best of four Valley 1200m runs is a fifth in July, beaten two lengths. 領袖勁力 has three consecutive top-four finishes over this Valley trip, including a short-head second, and returns from a twelfth at Sha Tin 1400m. 赤兔再世 has only two sampled runs and steps to 1200m without a trip record. 快樂高球 has no Valley run in the sample and was eleventh last time, beaten over ten lengths.

Race 8

turf 1200m ⚖ Even pace · Pressure 0.53 racecard ↗
Likely an even, honest paceEarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 6 電光高昇潘頓 · 韋達 · Dr8 Front-runner
Strong
—
2 2 精彩駿將何澤堯 · 方嘉柏 · Dr4 Front-runner
Strong
4th
3 5 粵港資駒霍宏聲 · 游達榮 · Dr3 TBD
Strong
2nd
4 7 江江彩彩艾道拿 · 甘敏斯 · Dr5 Midfield
Strong
—

Official result

① #12 驕陽雄心② #5 粵港資駒③ #4 快活英雄④ #2 精彩駿將

Payout hits

Place #5 粵港資駒HK$17.00

Model Narrative

Race 8, turf, 1200m. Ranked fourth by the model, 臻至辰 has two wins in the supplied sample, both at Sha Tin 1400m, by a length and a quarter in July and a length and a half in May, so the winning evidence is there. Today is a Valley 1200m, though, and his only sampled 1200m run was a seventh beaten three and three quarter lengths in March, leaving trip and venue unproven. The first choice, 電光高昇, has no win in two sampled runs, a fifth over Sha Tin 1200m beaten four lengths and a sixth over Valley 1000m, so the order rests on the model rather than established Valley 1200m form. 精彩駿將, ranked second, won over this Valley trip in April by a length and a half, though his latest run was a twelfth at Sha Tin. 江江彩彩, ranked third, has no supplied form sample, so only gate five and the model position can be noted. 驕陽雄心, ranked fifth, has five Valley 1200m runs in the sample for two wins, a second and a third, and was second in Class 3 in September, so he deserves more than a footnote while 電光高昇 stays first. 粵港資駒 was a neck second over this trip in March.

Race 9

turf 1650m 🔥 Fast pace · Pressure 0.56 racecard ↗
Likely fast early pace (many on-pace types)EarlyClosers
HorseSignalsResult
1 12 知道穩勝潘明輝 · 沈集成 · Dr5 Front-runner
Strong
—
2 6 智勇名駒希威森 · 呂健威 · Dr9 Front-runner
Strong
—
3 2 幸運派彩巴度 · 徐雨石 · Dr1 Midfield
Strong
3rd
4 1 一生好彩霍宏聲 · 廖康銘 · Dr10 Closer
Strong
—

Official result

① #4 一定掂② #5 同心同樂③ #2 幸運派彩④ #9 納百川

Payout hits

Place #2 幸運派彩HK$14.00

Model Narrative

Race 9, turf, 1650m. 知道穩勝 has the clearest trip record of the top two, with two Valley 1650m wins in March, by a length and a quarter and by half a length, followed by a neck third in Class 3 in April. His latest run over the trip was an eighth beaten four and three quarter lengths in May. 智勇名駒 has no win in the sample, his best a second over this Valley trip in May beaten a length and a quarter, and he was fourth in September beaten two and a quarter lengths. The comparison is winning form against consistent proximity. The pace forecast is fast with several forward types, which may increase the cost of racing forward and put emphasis on settling. 幸運派彩, ranked third, has gate one, won over the trip in September and was fourth over it on 7 October, beaten a length and a quarter. 一生好彩, ranked fourth, has only Sha Tin runs in the sample, including a short-head win and a second over 1600m, and this is a first Valley 1650m appearance in the sample. 一定掂 has four Valley 1650m runs, the best a fourth beaten two lengths in May. 納百川 was third over the trip in May, beaten a length and three quarters.

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